DC United vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
SES
4 - 3
DCU
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
DAL
4 - 2
DCU
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
DCU
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
NER
2 - 1
DCU
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
PHU
1 - 0
DCU
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
MIN
0 - 0
HOD
24%
27%
49%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
HOD
3 - 1
MON
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
COR
3 - 1
HOD
39%
29%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
HOD
0 - 2
KCW
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
HOD
1 - 1
DAL
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |