Daventry Town vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
58.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
20º
19º
51
3º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
86 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
75 | 75 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
65 | 68 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 67 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
64 | 67 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
64 | 65 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
64 | 65 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
51 | 52 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 48 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
71% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 42 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 42 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
38 | 41 |
16º
|
46.5% | |
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
|
19º
|
24 | 24 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daventry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
DAV
78%
14%
7%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DAV
1 - 4
HAL
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STA
4 - 0
DAV
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 1
DAV
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DAV
0 - 1
BED
49%
22%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SHE
0 - 1
LER
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
COR
0 - 0
SHE
34%
23%
44%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
SHE
0 - 2
STA
19%
21%
60%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 4
SHE
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 1
SHE
51%
21%
29%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |