Daventry Town vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
66.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daventry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 1
DAV
85%
11%
5%
|
14 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
RUG
3 - 1
DAV
84%
12%
4%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
DAV
1 - 3
STO
10%
17%
73%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
DAV
0 - 5
KID
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
DAV
2 - 3
GOO
28%
24%
49%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
BEL
28%
23%
49%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
RFC
3 - 1
GRE
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
COA
1 - 0
GRE
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 2
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 4
ROM
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |