Darwin Olympic vs Hellenic Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
65%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darwin Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
DAR
4 - 4
SRD
44%
22%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
DAR
1 - 6
ADE
5%
12%
84%
|
12 | 74 | 62 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
DAR
5 - 0
ASC
54%
22%
24%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |