Darwin Olympic vs Edgeworth Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
76.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darwin Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2018 |
HAC
4 - 0
DAR
73%
15%
11%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2017 |
DAR
2 - 4
HAC
17%
18%
65%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
DAR
4 - 4
SRD
44%
22%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
DAR
1 - 6
ADE
5%
12%
84%
|
12 | 74 | 62 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
DAR
5 - 0
ASC
54%
22%
24%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Edgeworth Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
EDG
3 - 1
MAI
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
ADR
0 - 1
EDG
7%
15%
78%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
HAM
1 - 4
EDG
34%
23%
43%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
EDG
3 - 0
LAK
85%
11%
4%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 2
EDG
16%
19%
65%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |