FA Trophy Last 16
Global 2-3
Dartford vs Wealdstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
DAR
6 - 0
THU
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
STA
1 - 4
DAR
20%
23%
57%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
HAM
1 - 3
DAR
27%
25%
49%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
DAR
4 - 2
BOS
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
HAV
1 - 4
DAR
29%
25%
47%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Wealdstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2012 |
WEA
2 - 0
TOO
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
LOW
2 - 1
WEA
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
HEN
1 - 1
WEA
30%
25%
46%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
WEA
1 - 1
CRA
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
WEA
2 - 1
BAR
37%
25%
39%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |