Dartford vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
GRE
1 - 1
DAR
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
BAE
1 - 0
DAR
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
DAR
4 - 0
BAR
47%
23%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
WIN
2 - 2
DAR
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
DAR
0 - 5
MAL
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -3 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
TIL
0 - 1
FAF
15%
21%
64%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
ERI
2 - 5
TIL
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
TIL
0 - 2
WIV
19%
23%
58%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
HAR
2 - 0
TIL
71%
18%
12%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
TIL
1 - 1
ARL
21%
23%
57%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |