Dartford vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
DAR
1 - 2
CHM
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
WEL
2 - 1
DAR
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
EBB
2 - 1
DAR
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
DAR
1 - 0
CRA
28%
23%
49%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
CRA
3 - 3
DAR
67%
19%
15%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
THU
2 - 7
DOV
21%
24%
55%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
CHM
6 - 1
THU
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
BIS
1 - 0
THU
49%
25%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
THU
3 - 1
LEW
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
THU
0 - 2
DAR
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |