Dartford vs Lewes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2011 |
DAR
2 - 2
STA
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
STA
2 - 0
DAR
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
DAR
0 - 0
EAS
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 2
DAR
30%
25%
44%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
DAR
3 - 0
MAI
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
LEW
2 - 1
BRA
22%
26%
53%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LEW
1 - 5
FAR
14%
20%
66%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CHM
4 - 0
LEW
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 1
LEW
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
LEW
0 - 4
WOK
26%
27%
47%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |