Dartford vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BOR
0 - 0
DAR
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
DAR
4 - 2
ASH
55%
22%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
DAR
4 - 0
RAM
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
WEA
0 - 0
DAR
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SUT
1 - 0
DAR
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HOR
1 - 0
HAR
40%
26%
35%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
HEN
3 - 1
HOR
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
HOR
3 - 0
HOR
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
HOR
0 - 0
TOO
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
HAR
0 - 1
HOR
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |