Dartford vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
DAR
1 - 1
HEY
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
STA
2 - 1
DAR
61%
21%
19%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2008 |
CAR
3 - 2
DAR
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
DAR
2 - 2
WEA
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
HAR
1 - 2
DAR
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
RAM
2 - 2
HOR
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
HOR
1 - 2
SUT
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2008 |
DOV
2 - 1
HOR
51%
24%
24%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
HOR
1 - 4
HAR
62%
22%
17%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 5
HOR
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |