Dartford vs Horsham YMCA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
COR
1 - 3
DAR
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
TOO
2 - 1
DAR
44%
24%
33%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
DAR
3 - 1
GOD
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
CRO
0 - 1
DAR
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2006 |
DAR
2 - 1
MAI
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Horsham YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
HOR
0 - 0
FLE
18%
22%
60%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
HOR
0 - 3
TOO
19%
22%
59%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CRO
0 - 2
HOR
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
WAL
4 - 2
HOR
68%
19%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
HOR
2 - 2
MAI
16%
22%
62%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +1 |