Daroca vs Embid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+312%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
AGR
3 - 1
DAR
85%
10%
5%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
DAR
5 - 3
CDC
43%
21%
36%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TER
2 - 1
DAR
60%
19%
21%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ANI
3 - 0
DAR
60%
18%
22%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DAR
3 - 2
SAB
39%
20%
40%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Embid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
EMB
1 - 2
ANI
34%
22%
44%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SAB
0 - 1
EMB
40%
22%
38%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
EMB
4 - 2
ZAL
11%
15%
74%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +3 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 0
EMB
70%
17%
13%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
EMB
2 - 3
CER
18%
20%
62%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |