Danubio vs Progreso analysis

Danubio Progreso
81 ELO 82
-19% Tilt -18%
500º General ELO ranking 501º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31.2%
Danubio
27.4%
Draw
41.5%
Progreso

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
Danubio
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
41.5%
Win probability
Progreso
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Danubio
-7%
-10%
Progreso

Points and table prediction

Danubio
Their league position
Progreso
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
15º
14º
24
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Peñarol
41
41
100%
Nacional
34
34
100%
Defensor Sporting
28
28
100%
Boston River
27
27
100%
Progreso
24
24
100%
Cerro Largo
21
21
100%
Racing Montevideo
19
19
100%
Liverpool Montevideo
18
18
0%
Montevideo Wanderers
18
18
0%
Cerro CA
10º
17
17
10º
100%
Deportivo Maldonado
11º
15
15
11º
100%
Rampla Juniors
12º
15
15
12º
100%
River Plate Montevideo
13º
14
14
13º
100%
Danubio
14º
14
14
14º
100%
Fénix
15º
13
13
15º
100%
Miramar Misiones
16º
11
11
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Danubio
Progreso
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Danubio
Progreso
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Danubio
Danubio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2024
DRZ
Rayo Zuliano
0 - 2
Danubio
DAN
19%
24%
57%
80 60 20 0
30 Mar. 2024
DEF
Defensor Sporting
1 - 0
Danubio
DAN
56%
24%
20%
81 82 1 -1
24 Mar. 2024
DAN
Danubio
0 - 2
Montevideo Wanderers
MWA
46%
28%
26%
81 77 4 0
14 Mar. 2024
DEF
Defensor Sporting
1 - 0
Danubio
DAN
57%
23%
20%
81 82 1 0
10 Mar. 2024
LFC
Liverpool Montevideo
1 - 2
Danubio
DAN
59%
23%
18%
81 82 1 0

Matches

Progreso
Progreso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2024
PRO
Progreso
3 - 1
Deportivo Maldonado
DEP
60%
22%
18%
82 77 5 0
27 Mar. 2024
PRO
Progreso
4 - 2
Rampla Juniors
JUN
59%
23%
18%
81 77 4 +1
23 Mar. 2024
NAC
Nacional
0 - 0
Progreso
PRO
48%
25%
27%
81 82 1 0
10 Mar. 2024
PRO
Progreso
4 - 3
Racing Montevideo
RAC
48%
25%
27%
80 81 1 +1
01 Mar. 2024
CER
Cerro CA
2 - 3
Progreso
PRO
30%
27%
42%
80 77 3 0