Danubio vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
FEN
5 - 1
DAN
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
DAN
2 - 0
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 1
DAN
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
DAN
1 - 0
CER
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
PLA
0 - 1
DAN
37%
29%
35%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 1
BOS
44%
26%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
RAC
3 - 0
PRO
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 2
MWA
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
LFC
3 - 5
PRO
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 0
JUV
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |