Danubio vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
DAN
0 - 2
NAC
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
RAC
0 - 2
DAN
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
DAN
4 - 1
JUN
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
FEN
2 - 2
DAN
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
DAN
0 - 2
CER
47%
26%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
PRO
0 - 2
TOR
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
BOS
0 - 0
PRO
52%
25%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 1
ATE
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
PRO
0 - 0
RIV
38%
26%
37%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 0
PRO
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |