Danubio vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CER
1 - 2
DAN
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 1
DAN
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
DAN
1 - 0
SUD
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 0
DAN
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
DAN
1 - 1
JUN
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PLA
1 - 0
JUV
44%
28%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SUD
2 - 2
PLA
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PLA
1 - 2
DEF
20%
26%
54%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
JUN
2 - 0
PLA
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
PLA
1 - 3
FEN
35%
29%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |