Danubio vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
26.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
15º
14º
18
9º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 13 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
DEF
1 - 0
DAN
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 2
DAN
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
MWA
0 - 1
DAN
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
DAN
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BOS
0 - 0
DAN
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
MWA
0 - 0
DEP
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
MWA
0 - 1
DAN
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
NAC
3 - 0
MWA
57%
23%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MWA
0 - 1
RAC
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CER
1 - 1
MWA
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |