Danubio vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis

Danubio Montevideo Wanderers
80 ELO 78
-18.8% Tilt -16.8%
499º General ELO ranking 492º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45.7%
Danubio
28%
Draw
26.3%
Montevideo Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
Danubio
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
26.3%
Win probability
Montevideo Wanderers
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Danubio
-7%
-4%
Montevideo Wanderers

Points and table prediction

Danubio
Their league position
Montevideo Wanderers
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
15º
14º
18
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Peñarol
41
41
100%
Nacional
34
34
100%
Defensor Sporting
28
28
100%
Boston River
27
27
100%
Progreso
24
24
100%
Cerro Largo
21
21
100%
Racing Montevideo
19
19
100%
Liverpool Montevideo
18
18
0%
Montevideo Wanderers
18
18
0%
Cerro CA
10º
17
17
10º
100%
Deportivo Maldonado
11º
15
15
11º
100%
Rampla Juniors
12º
15
15
12º
100%
River Plate Montevideo
13º
14
14
13º
100%
Danubio
14º
14
14
14º
100%
Fénix
15º
13
13
15º
100%
Miramar Misiones
16º
11
11
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Danubio
Montevideo Wanderers
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Danubio
Montevideo Wanderers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Danubio
Danubio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2024
DEF
Defensor Sporting
1 - 0
Danubio
DAN
57%
23%
20%
81 82 1 0
10 Mar. 2024
LFC
Liverpool Montevideo
1 - 2
Danubio
DAN
59%
23%
18%
81 82 1 0
07 Mar. 2024
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
0 - 1
Danubio
DAN
42%
27%
31%
80 78 2 +1
02 Mar. 2024
RIV
River Plate Montevideo
1 - 0
Danubio
DAN
50%
26%
25%
80 81 1 0
24 Feb. 2024
BOS
Boston River
0 - 0
Danubio
DAN
46%
26%
28%
80 79 1 0

Matches

Montevideo Wanderers
Montevideo Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2024
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
0 - 0
Deportivo Maldonado
DEP
43%
27%
30%
77 76 1 0
07 Mar. 2024
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
0 - 1
Danubio
DAN
42%
27%
31%
78 80 2 -1
03 Mar. 2024
NAC
Nacional
3 - 0
Montevideo Wanderers
MWA
57%
23%
19%
78 82 4 0
24 Feb. 2024
MWA
Montevideo Wanderers
0 - 1
Racing Montevideo
RAC
41%
27%
32%
78 80 2 0
18 Feb. 2024
CER
Cerro CA
1 - 1
Montevideo Wanderers
MWA
36%
29%
35%
78 77 1 0