Danubio vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
FEN
0 - 0
DAN
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
DAN
2 - 0
CEL
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 0
DAN
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
DAN
0 - 0
BOS
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 1
DAN
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 2
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 3
DEF
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 0
CSC
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
DEF
2 - 1
FEN
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 0
DEF
44%
27%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |