Danubio vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
DAN
1 - 1
REN
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
DEP
0 - 0
DAN
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
DAN
2 - 2
BOS
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 0
DAN
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
LFC
2 - 1
DAN
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
DEF
2 - 0
CEL
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
REN
2 - 0
DEF
51%
24%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
DEF
4 - 2
DEP
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
BOS
1 - 1
DEF
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
DEF
1 - 1
NAC
28%
27%
46%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |