Danubio vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ETS
1 - 0
DAN
39%
28%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
DAN
3 - 1
CER
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 2
UCO
39%
24%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 2
DAN
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 0
DAN
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 2
SUD
60%
24%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
DEF
3 - 1
PEÑ
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
DEF
3 - 0
UNI
60%
24%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RAC
0 - 2
DEF
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
BOL
2 - 0
DEF
40%
23%
37%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |