Danubio vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
MWA
1 - 1
DAN
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
DAN
1 - 2
RIV
43%
24%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
LFC
1 - 1
DAN
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
DAN
1 - 0
FEN
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
CSM
1 - 2
DAN
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
DEF
3 - 1
ETS
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CSM
0 - 1
DEF
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 0
CER
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
DEF
1 - 2
BVS
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
DEF
1 - 0
IND
49%
24%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |