Danubio vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 2
DAN
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
DAN
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
DAN
1 - 1
CEN
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
DAN
2 - 3
LFC
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
DAN
1 - 0
BVS
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
DEF
5 - 1
ATE
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
DEF
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 2
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 0
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |