Danubio vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2005 |
RIV
0 - 2
DAN
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
DAN
2 - 0
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2005 |
LIG
1 - 1
DAN
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
DAN
2 - 0
CER
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
PLA
0 - 2
DAN
16%
24%
60%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
ROC
2 - 3
DEF
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
REN
0 - 0
DEF
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 1
NAC
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
DEF
2 - 2
CER
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 0
TAC
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |