Dandenong Thunder SC vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
61.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+121%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
DAN
3 - 2
HEU
22%
23%
56%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
ALM
0 - 1
DAN
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
DAN
2 - 2
DAC
51%
22%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
HUM
2 - 1
DAN
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
DAN
2 - 1
GRE
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
PLI
2 - 0
SOU
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
SOU
0 - 3
STA
81%
14%
6%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2025 |
MEL
3 - 3
SOU
19%
23%
58%
|
58 | 25 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2025 |
SOU
3 - 1
MEL
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
POR
0 - 1
SOU
12%
21%
67%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |