Dandenong Thunder SC vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+144%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
POR
2 - 2
DAN
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
DAN
2 - 1
ELS
78%
13%
9%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 2
DAN
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
DAN
3 - 1
ALM
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
OAK
3 - 2
DAN
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 2
ALM
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 1
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
BEN
33%
24%
44%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
AVH
2 - 0
SOU
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 0
SOU
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |