Dandenong Thunder SC vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
74.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+260%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
BEN
3 - 1
DAN
83%
12%
6%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 0
DAN
77%
15%
9%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
DAN
1 - 3
HUM
23%
24%
52%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
NGW
3 - 0
DAN
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 0
OAK
16%
22%
62%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
BUL
1 - 1
SOU
11%
15%
75%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 0
GUA
6%
12%
83%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 2
POR
78%
15%
8%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 5
SYD
7%
14%
79%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
PAL
0 - 6
SOU
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |