Dandenong Thunder SC vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+239%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DAN
3 - 1
RIC
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
DAN
0 - 3
BEN
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 0
DAN
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
DAN
1 - 1
RIC
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 3
DAN
44%
26%
31%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +3 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 2
SOU
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 3
SOU
29%
23%
48%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 3
SOU
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HEU
2 - 5
SOU
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 1
BEN
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |