Dandenong Thunder SC vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+273%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
DAN
3 - 1
MEL
57%
21%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
BEN
2 - 1
DAN
42%
24%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2011 |
DAN
3 - 1
VTC
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
DAN
2 - 1
SWE
81%
13%
6%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 0
DAN
49%
25%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
SOU
3 - 1
HUM
33%
25%
43%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
RIC
1 - 0
SOU
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 0
STA
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 0
SOU
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 0
OAK
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |