Dandenong Thunder SC vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+289%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
OAK
3 - 1
DAN
44%
26%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
DAN
0 - 3
RIC
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
HUM
3 - 0
DAN
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -3 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
DAN
2 - 1
MEL
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
HEU
0 - 1
DAN
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SOU
2 - 1
GRE
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
NOR
3 - 3
SOU
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 1
BEN
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ALM
1 - 1
SOU
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SOU
1 - 0
SGC
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |