Dandenong Thunder SC vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+188%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
DAN
3 - 0
HEU
31%
25%
45%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 2
DAN
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
DAN
4 - 0
PLI
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
RIC
2 - 3
DAN
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
DAN
2 - 1
WHZ
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
SGC
1 - 1
SOU
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SOU
2 - 0
ALM
61%
22%
18%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SOU
0 - 0
OAK
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HUM
1 - 2
SOU
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 2
SOU
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |