Dandenong Thunder SC vs Richmond analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 3
DAN
44%
26%
31%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DAN
0 - 0
OAK
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 2
DAN
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DAN
5 - 0
HEU
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
BEN
3 - 3
DAN
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
RIC
2 - 0
MEL
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
HUM
3 - 3
RIC
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
RIC
1 - 2
SOU
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MZA
1 - 2
RIC
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 3
RIC
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |