Dandenong Thunder SC vs Richmond analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
STA
0 - 3
DAN
13%
20%
68%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
DAN
3 - 1
OAK
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 0
DAN
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
DAN
1 - 1
BEN
67%
20%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
VTC
0 - 6
DAN
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
RIC
1 - 3
HUM
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
HEU
3 - 1
RIC
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
RIC
2 - 0
STA
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 1
RIC
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RIC
0 - 2
OAK
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |