Dandenong Thunder SC vs Richmond analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
HUM
3 - 0
DAN
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
DAN
2 - 1
MEL
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
HEU
0 - 1
DAN
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
DAN
3 - 1
MEL
44%
24%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PLI
1 - 5
DAN
31%
25%
45%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
RIC
1 - 3
GRE
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
RIC
2 - 1
NOR
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 0
RIC
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
HUM
2 - 0
RIC
58%
23%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
RIC
1 - 2
HEU
48%
22%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |