Dandenong Thunder SC vs Richmond analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
WHZ
2 - 3
DAN
22%
24%
54%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
DAN
1 - 1
SGC
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
DAN
5 - 1
GRE
36%
27%
37%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
HUM
3 - 0
DAN
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
ALM
0 - 2
DAN
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2009 |
RIC
3 - 1
OAK
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2009 |
RIC
1 - 3
SOU
36%
25%
38%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
PLI
2 - 1
RIC
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
SGC
2 - 1
RIC
56%
24%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
RIC
2 - 3
ALM
45%
25%
31%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |