Dandenong Thunder SC vs Pascoe Vale SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2013 |
OAK
0 - 1
DAN
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
DAN
4 - 0
HUM
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
DAN
3 - 0
SOU
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DAN
3 - 1
RIC
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
DAN
0 - 3
BEN
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Pascoe Vale SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2013 |
PAS
0 - 1
BEN
23%
23%
54%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 3
PAS
56%
22%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
PAS
2 - 1
GRE
18%
22%
60%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +3 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
POR
3 - 1
PAS
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
PAS
0 - 1
NOR
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |