Dandenong Thunder SC vs Northcote City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
49.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
AVH
3 - 2
DAN
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 0
POR
34%
23%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
PAS
5 - 2
DAN
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
DAN
0 - 2
HUM
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 0
DAN
72%
18%
11%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Northcote City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 0
NGW
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
OAK
2 - 2
NOR
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 2
HEU
50%
23%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 3
AVH
45%
23%
33%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
HUM
5 - 0
NOR
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |