Dandenong Thunder SC vs Northcote City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
MEL
4 - 3
DAN
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
DAN
0 - 2
PAS
76%
16%
9%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
OAK
0 - 1
DAN
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
DAN
4 - 0
HUM
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
DAN
3 - 0
SOU
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Northcote City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 1
BEN
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 4
NOR
18%
21%
61%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 0
GRE
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
POR
0 - 2
NOR
21%
21%
58%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
RIC
2 - 7
NOR
36%
24%
41%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |