Dandenong Thunder SC vs Northcote City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
DAN
4 - 1
MZA
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
DAN
32%
24%
43%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
DAN
1 - 0
HUM
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
DAN
20%
23%
58%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2012 |
RIC
1 - 1
DAN
29%
25%
45%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Northcote City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 2
MEL
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
HUM
3 - 0
NOR
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 0
SOU
73%
16%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2012 |
RIC
0 - 0
NOR
35%
23%
42%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 1
NOR
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |