Dandenong Thunder SC vs Northcote City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
HEU
3 - 1
DAN
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
HUM
1 - 1
DAN
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
DAN
1 - 2
RIC
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
STA
0 - 3
DAN
13%
20%
68%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
DAN
3 - 1
OAK
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Northcote City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 4
HUM
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
RIC
1 - 1
NOR
35%
24%
42%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 0
STA
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 2
NOR
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
NOR
3 - 4
OAK
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |