Dandenong Thunder SC vs North Geelong Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.7%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
3.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
12º
8º
14
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
AVH
5 - 1
DAN
81%
13%
6%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
DAN
0 - 3
ALM
66%
18%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
DAN
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 1
BEN
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2023 |
SOU
3 - 2
DAN
77%
16%
8%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
North Geelong Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
NGW
0 - 3
MEL
8%
14%
77%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 1
NGW
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
NGW
1 - 0
MCF
34%
22%
44%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
HUM
1 - 2
NGW
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
AVH
3 - 0
NGW
92%
6%
2%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | 0 |