Dandenong Thunder SC vs North Geelong Warriors analysis

Dandenong Thunder SC North Geelong Warriors
29 ELO 14
9.3% Tilt 2.9%
4991º General ELO ranking 28715º
51º Country ELO ranking 188º
ELO win probability
87.8%
Dandenong Thunder SC
8.3%
Draw
4%
North Geelong Warriors

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.7%
Win probability
Dandenong Thunder SC
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
3.9%
Win probability
North Geelong Warriors
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Dandenong Thunder SC
Their league position
North Geelong Warriors
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
12º
14
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Avondale Heights
67
67
100%
South Melbourne
62
62
100%
Oakleigh Cannons
58
58
100%
FC Melbourne Knights
47
47
100%
Port Melbourne Sharks
45
45
100%
Altona Magic
41
41
100%
Green Gully Cavaliers
40
40
100%
Dandenong Thunder SC
33
33
100%
Heidelberg Utd
31
31
100%
Hume City FC
10º
28
28
10º
100%
St Albans Saints
11º
22
22
11º
100%
Moreland City
12º
16
16
12º
100%
Bentleigh Greens
13º
15
15
13º
100%
North Geelong Warriors
14º
14
14
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Dandenong Thunder SC
North Geelong Warriors
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Dandenong Thunder SC
North Geelong Warriors
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dandenong Thunder SC
Dandenong Thunder SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jul. 2023
AVH
Avondale Heights
5 - 1
Dandenong Thunder SC
DAN
81%
13%
6%
29 46 17 0
01 Jul. 2023
DAN
Dandenong Thunder SC
0 - 3
Altona Magic
ALM
66%
18%
16%
31 26 5 -2
24 Jun. 2023
POR
Port Melbourne Sharks
0 - 0
Dandenong Thunder SC
DAN
63%
20%
17%
30 39 9 +1
17 Jun. 2023
DAN
Dandenong Thunder SC
1 - 1
Bentleigh Greens
BEN
71%
16%
13%
31 24 7 -1
13 Jun. 2023
SOU
South Melbourne
3 - 2
Dandenong Thunder SC
DAN
77%
16%
8%
31 47 16 0

Matches

North Geelong Warriors
North Geelong Warriors
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jul. 2023
NGW
North Geelong Warriors
0 - 3
FC Melbourne Knights
MEL
8%
14%
77%
15 34 19 0
30 Jun. 2023
GRE
Green Gully Cavaliers
3 - 1
North Geelong Warriors
NGW
89%
8%
3%
15 31 16 0
24 Jun. 2023
NGW
North Geelong Warriors
1 - 0
Moreland City
MCF
34%
22%
44%
14 17 3 +1
17 Jun. 2023
HUM
Hume City FC
1 - 2
North Geelong Warriors
NGW
82%
12%
6%
13 26 13 +1
10 Jun. 2023
AVH
Avondale Heights
3 - 0
North Geelong Warriors
NGW
92%
6%
2%
13 46 33 0