Dandenong Thunder SC vs North Geelong Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
7.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2015 |
OAK
4 - 2
DAN
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
DAN
6 - 1
NOR
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +3 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
AVH
3 - 2
DAN
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 0
POR
34%
23%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
PAS
5 - 2
DAN
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
North Geelong Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
NGW
0 - 0
HEU
8%
14%
79%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
NGW
0 - 2
OAK
11%
18%
71%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 0
NGW
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
NGW
1 - 2
AVH
12%
18%
71%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
NGW
0 - 4
POR
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |