Dandenong Thunder SC vs Moreland Zebras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
54.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
POR
1 - 3
DAN
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
DAN
0 - 1
AVH
14%
19%
67%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
DAN
5 - 1
BRI
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
KIN
0 - 1
DAN
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
DAN
1 - 2
GRE
13%
19%
68%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Moreland Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
MZA
1 - 1
BCS
80%
12%
8%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
HEU
4 - 0
MZA
70%
17%
14%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HUM
1 - 2
MZA
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MZA
4 - 1
HEU
41%
23%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MZA
3 - 3
SOU
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |