Dandenong Thunder SC vs Moreland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
9.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+144%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
12º
10º
14
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 2
DAN
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
STA
1 - 0
DAN
30%
23%
47%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
AVH
2 - 1
DAN
85%
10%
4%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
DAN
3 - 1
POR
28%
22%
50%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +3 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 0
DAN
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Moreland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MCF
0 - 2
OAK
13%
20%
67%
|
20 | 56 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ALM
6 - 3
MCF
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MCF
2 - 3
HEU
13%
17%
70%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MNG
3 - 3
MCF
64%
18%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MCF
0 - 2
HUM
14%
18%
68%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |