Dandenong Thunder SC vs Moreland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+131%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
12º
8º
16
7º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NGW
1 - 2
DAN
7%
13%
80%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 3
AVH
25%
21%
54%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ALM
3 - 2
DAN
19%
20%
61%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DAN
2 - 6
POR
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 3
DAN
39%
24%
38%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Moreland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MCF
1 - 4
MEL
22%
20%
58%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
GRE
6 - 2
MCF
80%
12%
8%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MCF
2 - 5
HUM
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MCF
4 - 1
NGW
80%
12%
8%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AVH
7 - 0
MCF
84%
11%
6%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |