Dandenong Thunder SC vs Hume City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+215%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 0
GRE
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
POR
2 - 2
DAN
32%
24%
45%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GRE
3 - 1
DAN
49%
24%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -3 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
RIC
0 - 2
DAN
32%
25%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
DAN
0 - 2
POR
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
WEC
2 - 1
HUM
12%
18%
70%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
HUM
3 - 0
PAS
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
4 - 2
HUM
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
HUM
1 - 2
MEL
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
PAS
1 - 1
HUM
31%
23%
46%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |