Dandenong Thunder SC vs Green Gully Cavaliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
34.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+131%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
12º
8º
40
4º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MCF
0 - 4
DAN
12%
16%
72%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
DAN
6 - 0
NGW
88%
8%
4%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
AVH
5 - 1
DAN
81%
13%
6%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
DAN
0 - 3
ALM
66%
18%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
DAN
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 0
MEL
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
HUM
0 - 1
GRE
29%
24%
47%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MCF
1 - 1
GRE
11%
16%
72%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 1
NGW
89%
8%
3%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 4
AVH
19%
22%
60%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -3 |