Dandenong Thunder SC vs Ballarat Red Devils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
DAN
0 - 3
WEC
79%
14%
8%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 3
DAN
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
OAK
6 - 0
DAN
51%
23%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 1
DAN
60%
21%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
DAN
0 - 0
OAK
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ballarat Red Devils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
BRD
3 - 2
GRE
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
BRD
0 - 4
POR
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
BRD
1 - 2
SOU
14%
19%
67%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PAS
2 - 2
BRD
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
HEU
4 - 2
BRD
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |