Dak vs Concesio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
DAK
0 - 0
CAS
69%
18%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
VOB
1 - 0
DAK
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
DAK
2 - 1
CAL
54%
22%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 3
DAK
42%
24%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DAK
0 - 0
BED
56%
21%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Concesio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CON
0 - 3
VER
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GUS
1 - 2
CON
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 0
CON
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
CAL
49%
23%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ADR
2 - 0
CON
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |