Dainava vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
66.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
9º
4º
79
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dainava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DAI
0 - 0
BFC
45%
24%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
DTE
0 - 2
DAI
37%
25%
39%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
HLI
5 - 2
DAI
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
DAI
0 - 4
FAS
19%
20%
61%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
ZAL
6 - 0
DAI
76%
16%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 3
HLI
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ZAL
0 - 2
FKT
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 1
DTE
78%
15%
8%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
ZAL
6 - 0
DAI
76%
16%
9%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 0
KZA
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |